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The next great empire
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Member since Sep 2007 · 1656 posts · Location: Brisbane, AU
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Subject: The next great empire
For about fifteen years I've been contemplating the rise and fall of empires.  They're coming more and faster now than ever before, and it's entirely possible that I'll see the fall of the American empire, and both the rise and fall of the Chinese one in my lifetime.  But I've always looked farther, wondering where the next empire would be, and it wasn't hard to cast an eye upon Africa as a contender.  It wasn't hard, there simply wasn't anywhere left to look.  By the time Asia'd had its fling, Africa would be the last third world.  Sure there were holdouts, but places like the 'stans were being held back by active repression more than internal inability.  Africa, though, was haphazardly modernizing and heading t'wards being a global power by virtue of not having any significant legacy empire momentum to prevent it.

And it turns out China agrees with me.  (this is a NewYorkTimes link, which means a free registration is required to read the article).

Basically, it's a book review that says things like this:

The authors contend that China’s ambitions in Africa are grandly geopolitical as well as economic. As Jacob Wood, a Shanghai-born housing developer based in Africa for more than 30 years, tells them: “I’m going to be honest with you, China is using Africa to get where the United States is now, and surpass it.”

On the one hand, the Chinese invest heavily in infrastructure projects and create hundreds of thousands of jobs in return for being granted oil, mining and other concessions by African nations. According to the authors, Chinese “discretion and humility” are a breath of fresh air against a backdrop of “colonial arrogance” by France, Britain and other nations. In addition, the authors say, “Africa welcomes any competition that shakes up the Western, Lebanese and Indian business monopolies.”

Despite the recitations of socioeconomic and cultural disruptions and workplace abuses, the authors reach what may be an overly sanguine conclusion. They contend that “China’s arrival has been a boon for a continent adrift,” adding that the Chinese have “given Africa a real sense of worth, as much in the eyes of Africans themselves as in the eyes of foreigners.”

It includes several statements to counter the rosy story, and adds that since the book went to print, there are stories emerging of China pulling out of some big deals already made.

Thing is, Africa is largely untapped.  For sure it's exploited, by without as well as within, but if you were a wannabe superpower (China) where would you go for raw materials and expansion space?  It sure as shit wouldn't be Europe or North America.  South America or Africa would be a good start, and my bet is Africa is more appealing.  Apparently I'm not alone in that.

China Safari (Amazon)
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